Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 6 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 1,249
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+2.0
- FDP4.0%-0.5
- BSW3.0%-1.5
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 20 Feb 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,249 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Mar 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 20 Feb 2025, Linke gains 2.0 points, BSW loses 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke 2.2 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.2average 7.8
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 29.6
- BSW -1.5average 4.5
- Grüne +0.5average 12.5
- AfD +0.3average 20.7
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- AfD152
- SPD109
- Grüne94
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne406 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke333 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.