Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 20 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 1,305
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Mar 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,305 people were surveyed from 18 to 20 Mar 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Mar 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower and Linke 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 29.3
- Linke +1.8average 8.2
- BSW -1.5average 4.5
- AfD +1.0average 21.0
- SPD +0.8average 15.2
- Grüne -0.6average 12.6
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- AfD159
- SPD116
- Grüne87
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne399 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.