Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 April 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 10 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 1,322
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD24.0%+2.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Mar 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,322 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 Apr 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Mar 2025, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.3average 4.3
- Grüne +0.5average 11.5
- FDP +0.5average 3.5
- SPD -0.4average 15.4
- AfD +0.3average 23.7
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- CDU/CSU ±0average 26.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- AfD174
- SPD109
- Grüne87
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.