Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 6 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,341
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD20.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 Jan 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,341 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 13.4
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- Linke +1.1average 4.9
- BSW -0.9average 4.9
- AfD -0.7average 20.7
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.9
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD146
- SPD110
- Grüne110
- Linke44
- CDU/CSU + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne366 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.