Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 29 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,428
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 Jan 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,428 people were surveyed from 27 to 29 Jan 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 30.6
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- Linke +1.1average 3.9
- AfD +0.8average 20.2
- BSW -0.8average 4.8
- Grüne +0.3average 13.7
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD157
- SPD113
- Grüne105
- Linke37
- CDU/CSU + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.