pollytix poll of 7 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- pollytix
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 6 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,529
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD20.0%-2.0
- SPD17.0%+2.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+2.0
- BSW5.0%-4.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous pollytix poll of 26 Jan 2024.
In this poll pollytix has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,529 people were surveyed from 5 to 6 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by pollytix.
Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 26 Jan 2024, BSW loses 4.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, pollytix has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 13.5
- Linke +1.2average 4.8
- SPD +0.9average 16.1
- AfD -0.4average 20.4
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- BSW +0.2average 4.8
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- AfD140
- SPD119
- Grüne84
- Linke42
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.