Single poll

pollytix poll of 12 February 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
pollytix
Fieldwork period
11 to 12 Feb 2025
Respondents
1,501
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
  • AfD19.0%-1.0
  • SPD17.0%±0
  • Grüne14.0%+2.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • BSW5.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous pollytix poll of 7 Feb 2025.

In this poll pollytix has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,501 people were surveyed from 11 to 12 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by pollytix.

Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 7 Feb 2025, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, pollytix has AfD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.6average 20.6
  • SPD +1.3average 15.7
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 30.0
  • Linke +0.8average 5.2
  • Grüne +0.5average 13.5
  • BSW +0.3average 4.7
  • FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 203 seatsAfD: 133 seatsSPD: 119 seatsGrüne: 98 seatsLinke: 42 seatsBSW: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU203
  • AfD133
  • SPD119
  • Grüne98
  • Linke42
  • BSW35
  • CDU/CSU + AfD336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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