pollytix poll of 16 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Campact
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 15 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,514
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- AfD25.0%+6.0
- SPD15.0%-2.0
- Grüne11.0%-3.0
- Linke10.0%+4.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous pollytix poll of 12 Feb 2025.
In this poll pollytix has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,514 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 May 2025, method Online, commissioned by Campact.
Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 12 Feb 2025, AfD gains 6.0 points, Linke gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.0average 4.0
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 26.2
- AfD +0.7average 24.3
- SPD -0.6average 15.6
- Grüne -0.5average 11.5
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
- Linke +0.1average 9.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- AfD169
- SPD102
- Grüne74
- Linke68
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne345 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.