pollytix poll of 3 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- pollytix
- Fieldwork period
- 28 May 2025 to 2 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 1,561
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD23.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous pollytix poll of 16 May 2025.
In this poll pollytix has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,561 people were surveyed from 28 May 2025 to 2 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by pollytix.
Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 16 May 2025, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.1average 3.9
- AfD -0.7average 23.7
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 26.5
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- AfD158
- SPD110
- Grüne75
- Linke68
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke363 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne343 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.