Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 19 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
16 to 17 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,273
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • Grüne23.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Aug 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,273 people were surveyed from 16 to 17 Aug 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Aug 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.3average 19.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.2average 26.8
  • Linke -0.7average 4.7
  • AfD +0.4average 11.6
  • Grüne -0.2average 23.2
  • FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 200 seatsGrüne: 165 seatsSPD: 129 seatsAfD: 86 seatsFDP: 50 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU200
  • Grüne165
  • SPD129
  • AfD86
  • FDP50
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD380 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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