Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 4 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
1 to 3 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,313
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • Grüne23.0%+1.0
  • SPD17.0%-2.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Jul 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,313 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Aug 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Jul 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 3.3 points lower and AfD 2.2 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -3.3average 20.3
  • AfD +2.2average 10.8
  • CDU/CSU +1.6average 26.4
  • Linke -0.9average 4.9
  • Grüne +0.5average 22.5
  • FDP -0.5average 7.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 200 seatsGrüne: 165 seatsSPD: 122 seatsAfD: 93 seatsFDP: 50 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU200
  • Grüne165
  • SPD122
  • AfD93
  • FDP50
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD380 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP337 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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