Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 22 July 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
19 to 20 Jul 2022
Respondents
1,210
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • Grüne22.0%-1.0
  • SPD19.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Jul 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,210 people were surveyed from 19 to 20 Jul 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Jul 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.7 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.7average 20.7
  • AfD +1.6average 10.4
  • FDP -0.6average 7.6
  • Linke -0.6average 4.6
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 26.5
  • Grüne -0.5average 22.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 195 seatsGrüne: 159 seatsSPD: 138 seatsAfD: 87 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU195
  • Grüne159
  • SPD138
  • AfD87
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD384 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP333 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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