Infratest dimap poll of 6 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,307
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-2.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Sep 2022.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,307 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Oct 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Sep 2022, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.7 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.7average 18.7
- AfD +1.5average 13.5
- Grüne -1.0average 20.0
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
- FDP -0.3average 7.3
- Linke -0.3average 5.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- Grüne131
- SPD118
- AfD104
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.