Infratest dimap poll of 14 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 12 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,225
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%+2.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Oct 2022.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,225 people were surveyed from 11 to 12 Oct 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Oct 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 27.6
- FDP -1.2average 7.2
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- SPD +0.5average 18.5
- Grüne +0.3average 19.7
- Linke -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU180
- Grüne138
- SPD131
- AfD104
- FDP42
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD415 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.