Infratest dimap poll of 3 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Oct 2022 to 2 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,307
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+2.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Oct 2022.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,307 people were surveyed from 31 Oct 2022 to 2 Nov 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Oct 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -0.9average 6.9
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 27.3
- AfD -0.7average 14.7
- Grüne -0.5average 19.5
- SPD -0.3average 19.3
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD131
- Grüne131
- AfD97
- FDP42
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.