Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 17 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
15 to 16 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,202
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
  • SPD24.0%+2.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Feb 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 15 to 16 Feb 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Feb 2022, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -1.3average 6.3
  • AfD +0.9average 11.1
  • Grüne -0.8average 15.8
  • FDP -0.8average 9.8
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 25.5
  • SPD +0.1average 23.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 180 seatsSPD: 166 seatsGrüne: 104 seatsAfD: 83 seatsFDP: 62 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU180
  • SPD166
  • Grüne104
  • AfD83
  • FDP62
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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