Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 3 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
31 Jan 2022 to 2 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,339
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+3.0
  • SPD22.0%-3.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jan 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,339 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2022 to 2 Feb 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jan 2022, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.4 points higher and SPD 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.4average 24.6
  • SPD -2.2average 24.2
  • AfD +1.4average 10.6
  • Linke -1.1average 6.1
  • FDP -0.4average 10.4
  • Grüne -0.3average 16.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsSPD: 151 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsAfD: 82 seatsFDP: 68 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • SPD151
  • Grüne110
  • AfD82
  • FDP68
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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