Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 20 January 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
18 to 19 Jan 2022
Respondents
1,424
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD25.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%+1.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP10.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Jan 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,424 people were surveyed from 18 to 19 Jan 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Jan 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.5average 26.5
  • AfD +1.2average 10.8
  • FDP -1.2average 11.2
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 22.9
  • Grüne +0.4average 15.6
  • Linke -0.3average 5.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 171 seatsCDU/CSU: 164 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsAfD: 82 seatsFDP: 69 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD171
  • CDU/CSU164
  • Grüne110
  • AfD82
  • FDP69
  • Linke34
  • SPD + CDU/CSU335 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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