Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 December 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
29 Nov 2021 to 1 Dec 2021
Respondents
1,316
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%+2.0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • FDP12.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Nov 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,316 people were surveyed from 29 Nov 2021 to 1 Dec 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Nov 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 21.9
  • SPD -0.8average 25.8
  • Grüne +0.8average 16.2
  • FDP -0.5average 12.5
  • AfD +0.4average 10.6
  • Linke -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 169 seatsCDU/CSU: 156 seatsGrüne: 115 seatsFDP: 81 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD169
  • CDU/CSU156
  • Grüne115
  • FDP81
  • AfD75
  • Linke34
  • SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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