Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 25 November 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
23 to 24 Nov 2021
Respondents
1,239
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD25.0%-2.0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • FDP13.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Nov 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,239 people were surveyed from 23 to 24 Nov 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Nov 2021, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.2average 15.8
  • SPD -1.0average 26.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 21.8
  • AfD +0.6average 10.4
  • FDP +0.1average 12.9
  • Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 171 seatsCDU/CSU: 144 seatsGrüne: 117 seatsFDP: 89 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD171
  • CDU/CSU144
  • Grüne117
  • FDP89
  • AfD75
  • Linke34
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne432 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP404 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD390 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP377 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD335 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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