Infratest dimap poll of 4 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 3 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,329
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD27.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP13.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Oct 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,329 people were surveyed from 2 to 3 Nov 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Oct 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.8average 26.2
- AfD -0.8average 10.8
- Linke -0.8average 5.8
- Grüne +0.6average 15.4
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 21.3
- FDP ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD185
- CDU/CSU144
- Grüne110
- FDP89
- AfD68
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP384 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD342 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.