Infratest dimap poll of 28 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 27 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,239
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- FDP13.0%+2.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%-2.0
- Others9.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Sep 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,239 people were surveyed from 26 to 27 Oct 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Sep 2021, FDP gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.8average 5.8
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 21.1
- AfD -0.9average 10.9
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
- SPD -0.1average 26.1
- FDP ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD188
- CDU/CSU160
- Grüne116
- FDP94
- AfD72
- SPD + CDU/CSU348 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP398 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.