Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 16 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
13 to 15 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,512
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD26.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%+2.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • FDP11.0%-2.0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Others6.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Sep 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,512 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Sep 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.1average 16.1
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 21.4
  • FDP -0.5average 11.5
  • SPD +0.4average 25.6
  • Linke -0.4average 6.4
  • AfD -0.1average 11.1
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 180 seatsCDU/CSU: 152 seatsGrüne: 104 seatsFDP: 76 seatsAfD: 76 seatsLinke: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD180
  • CDU/CSU152
  • Grüne104
  • FDP76
  • AfD76
  • Linke42
  • SPD + CDU/CSU332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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