Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
30 Aug 2021 to 1 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,337
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD25.0%+4.0
  • CDU/CSU20.0%-3.0
  • Grüne16.0%-1.0
  • FDP13.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Aug 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,337 people were surveyed from 30 Aug 2021 to 1 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Aug 2021, SPD gains 4.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and SPD 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.6average 22.6
  • SPD +1.7average 23.3
  • Grüne -1.6average 17.6
  • FDP +1.2average 11.8
  • AfD +1.2average 10.8
  • Linke -0.7average 6.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 171 seatsCDU/CSU: 137 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsFDP: 89 seatsAfD: 82 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD171
  • CDU/CSU137
  • Grüne110
  • FDP89
  • AfD82
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne418 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP397 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD390 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke349 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD329 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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