Infratest dimap poll of 19 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 18 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,219
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU23.0%-4.0
- SPD21.0%+3.0
- Grüne17.0%-2.0
- FDP13.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Aug 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 23.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,219 people were surveyed from 17 to 18 Aug 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Aug 2021, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.7 points lower and SPD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.7average 25.7
- SPD +2.3average 18.7
- Grüne -1.6average 18.6
- FDP +1.3average 11.7
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
- Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU158
- SPD144
- Grüne116
- FDP89
- AfD75
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.