Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 5 August 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
2 to 4 Aug 2021
Respondents
1,312
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%+2.0
  • FDP12.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Jul 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,312 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Aug 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.3average 16.7
  • Linke -0.9average 6.9
  • AfD -0.7average 10.7
  • Grüne -0.5average 19.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
  • FDP +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsGrüne: 130 seatsSPD: 123 seatsFDP: 82 seatsAfD: 69 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • Grüne130
  • SPD123
  • FDP82
  • AfD69
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD438 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP397 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP390 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD384 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD336 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP335 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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