Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 22 July 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
20 to 21 Jul 2021
Respondents
1,188
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
  • Grüne19.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Jul 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,188 people were surveyed from 20 to 21 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -1.1average 7.1
  • FDP +0.7average 11.3
  • Grüne -0.4average 19.4
  • AfD -0.3average 10.3
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 28.9
  • SPD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 199 seatsGrüne: 130 seatsSPD: 110 seatsFDP: 82 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU199
  • Grüne130
  • SPD110
  • FDP82
  • AfD68
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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