Infratest dimap poll of 1 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 30 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 1,317
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Jun 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,317 people were surveyed from 28 to 30 Jun 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Jun 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.1average 9.9
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 28.7
- Grüne -0.6average 20.6
- SPD -0.6average 15.6
- FDP -0.6average 11.6
- Linke -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne137
- SPD103
- FDP75
- AfD75
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.