Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 24 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
22 to 23 Jun 2021
Respondents
1,217
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • Grüne21.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Others4.0%-3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Jun 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,217 people were surveyed from 22 to 23 Jun 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Jun 2021, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.7average 10.3
  • Linke -1.1average 7.1
  • FDP -1.0average 12.0
  • SPD -0.5average 15.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 27.9
  • Grüne -0.1average 21.1
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 190 seatsGrüne: 142 seatsSPD: 102 seatsAfD: 81 seatsFDP: 74 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU190
  • Grüne142
  • SPD102
  • AfD81
  • FDP74
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke333 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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