Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 10 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
7 to 9 Jun 2021
Respondents
1,316
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+4.0
  • Grüne20.0%-5.0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • FDP12.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 May 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,316 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Jun 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 May 2021, Grüne loses 5.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.3average 22.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 26.6
  • AfD +1.2average 10.8
  • SPD -1.1average 15.1
  • FDP +0.2average 11.8
  • Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 190 seatsGrüne: 136 seatsSPD: 95 seatsFDP: 81 seatsAfD: 81 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU190
  • Grüne136
  • SPD95
  • FDP81
  • AfD81
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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