Infratest dimap poll of 12 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 11 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,198
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- Grüne25.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 May 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,198 people were surveyed from 10 to 11 May 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 May 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 25.3
- FDP +1.0average 11.0
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- Grüne +0.4average 24.6
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- Linke -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne167
- CDU/CSU161
- SPD101
- FDP80
- AfD74
- Linke47
- Grüne + CDU/CSU328 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP348 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD336 of 630
- Grüne + FDP + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.