Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 6 May 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
3 to 5 May 2021
Respondents
1,351
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Grüne26.0%+5.0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%-5.0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Others5.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Apr 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,351 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 May 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Apr 2021, Grüne gains 5.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 5.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.5 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.5average 25.5
  • AfD +1.6average 10.4
  • Grüne +1.2average 24.8
  • Linke -1.1average 7.1
  • SPD -0.9average 14.9
  • FDP +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

Grüne: 178 seatsCDU/CSU: 158 seatsSPD: 96 seatsAfD: 82 seatsFDP: 75 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • Grüne178
  • CDU/CSU158
  • SPD96
  • AfD82
  • FDP75
  • Linke41
  • Grüne + CDU/CSU336 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD356 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD336 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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