Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 15 April 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
13 to 14 Apr 2021
Respondents
1,174
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • FDP11.0%+2.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Apr 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,174 people were surveyed from 13 to 14 Apr 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Apr 2021, FDP gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.4average 9.6
  • SPD -1.0average 16.0
  • Grüne -0.9average 21.9
  • Linke -0.8average 7.8
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 27.4
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 190 seatsGrüne: 142 seatsSPD: 102 seatsFDP: 75 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU190
  • Grüne142
  • SPD102
  • FDP75
  • AfD74
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD339 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP319 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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