Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 1 April 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
29 to 30 Mar 2021
Respondents
1,348
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
  • Grüne22.0%+2.0
  • SPD16.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Mar 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,348 people were surveyed from 29 to 30 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -0.8average 9.8
  • Linke -0.7average 7.7
  • SPD -0.5average 16.5
  • AfD +0.2average 10.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
  • Grüne -0.1average 22.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsGrüne: 151 seatsSPD: 109 seatsAfD: 75 seatsFDP: 62 seatsLinke: 48 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • Grüne151
  • SPD109
  • AfD75
  • FDP62
  • Linke48
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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