Infratest dimap poll of 18 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 17 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,207
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-4.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+2.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Mar 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,207 people were surveyed from 15 to 17 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 4.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.1average 33.1
- FDP +1.1average 7.9
- Grüne +1.0average 19.0
- SPD +1.0average 16.0
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- Linke -0.6average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- Grüne136
- SPD115
- AfD75
- FDP61
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.