Infratest dimap poll of 4 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 2 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,296
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU33.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Feb 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,296 people were surveyed from 1 to 2 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Feb 2021, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 34.6
- Grüne +1.4average 18.6
- AfD +1.3average 9.7
- FDP -0.9average 7.9
- Linke -0.6average 7.6
- SPD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- Grüne134
- SPD107
- AfD74
- FDP47
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.