Infratest dimap poll of 18 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 17 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 1,025
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Feb 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,025 people were surveyed from 15 to 17 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower and Linke 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 35.4
- Linke -1.8average 7.8
- AfD +1.6average 9.4
- Grüne +1.2average 18.8
- FDP +0.7average 7.3
- SPD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- Grüne134
- SPD107
- AfD74
- FDP54
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.