Infratest dimap poll of 4 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 3 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 1,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU34.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Jan 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Jan 2021, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and Grüne 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 36.6
- Grüne +2.3average 18.7
- Linke -1.9average 7.9
- FDP +1.4average 6.6
- AfD +0.7average 9.3
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU228
- Grüne141
- SPD100
- AfD67
- FDP54
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.