Infratest dimap poll of 21 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 20 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 1,027
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU34.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Jan 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,027 people were surveyed from 18 to 20 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Jan 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.4 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.4average 18.6
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 36.3
- Linke -2.0average 8.0
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- SPD -0.4average 15.4
- AfD +0.4average 9.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- Grüne142
- SPD102
- AfD68
- FDP47
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.