Infratest dimap poll of 7 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 6 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 1,520
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU35.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 Dec 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,520 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 Dec 2020, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.4 points higher and SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.4average 18.6
- SPD -1.8average 15.8
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 36.3
- Linke -1.1average 8.1
- FDP +0.8average 6.2
- AfD +0.3average 9.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU234
- Grüne141
- SPD94
- AfD67
- FDP47
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.