Infratest dimap poll of 11 December 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Dec 2020
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU36.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Dec 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Dec 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Dec 2020, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.2average 18.8
- Linke -0.9average 7.9
- AfD -0.6average 9.6
- SPD +0.5average 15.5
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 36.4
- FDP -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU242
- Grüne134
- SPD107
- AfD60
- Linke47
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.