Infratest dimap poll of 3 December 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Nov 2020 to 2 Dec 2020
- Respondents
- 1,507
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU36.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Nov 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,507 people were surveyed from 30 Nov 2020 to 2 Dec 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Nov 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.1average 18.9
- SPD -0.6average 15.6
- AfD +0.6average 9.4
- Linke -0.6average 7.6
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 36.4
- FDP -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- Grüne139
- SPD100
- AfD66
- Linke46
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.