Infratest dimap poll of 27 November 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 25 Nov 2020
- Respondents
- 1,047
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU35.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others4.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Nov 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,047 people were surveyed from 24 to 25 Nov 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Nov 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.4 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.4average 18.6
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 36.6
- AfD +1.4average 9.6
- FDP +0.9average 6.1
- SPD -0.8average 15.8
- Linke -0.4average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- Grüne138
- SPD98
- AfD72
- FDP46
- Linke46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.