Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 12 November 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
9 to 11 Nov 2020
Respondents
1,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU36.0%+1.0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Oct 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,504 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Nov 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Oct 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.4average 18.6
  • Linke -0.8average 7.8
  • SPD -0.5average 15.5
  • AfD -0.3average 10.3
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 36.0
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 241 seatsGrüne: 134 seatsSPD: 101 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 47 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU241
  • Grüne134
  • SPD101
  • AfD67
  • Linke47
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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