Infratest dimap poll of 16 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 14 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,038
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU35.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Oct 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,038 people were surveyed from 12 to 14 Oct 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Oct 2020, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.0average 10.0
- SPD -0.8average 15.8
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 35.7
- Linke -0.7average 7.7
- Grüne +0.6average 19.4
- FDP +0.6average 5.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- Grüne134
- SPD100
- AfD74
- Linke47
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.