Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 9 December 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
7 to 8 Dec 2021
Respondents
1,266
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD26.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%-1.0
  • FDP12.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Dec 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,266 people were surveyed from 7 to 8 Dec 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Dec 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.8average 21.2
  • SPD -0.7average 26.7
  • FDP -0.7average 12.7
  • AfD +0.2average 10.8
  • Grüne +0.1average 15.9
  • Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 176 seatsCDU/CSU: 156 seatsGrüne: 108 seatsFDP: 81 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD176
  • CDU/CSU156
  • Grüne108
  • FDP81
  • AfD75
  • Linke34
  • SPD + CDU/CSU332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD339 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.