Infratest dimap poll of 9 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 8 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,195
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Nov 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,195 people were surveyed from 7 to 8 Nov 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Nov 2023, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.0average 16.0
- Grüne +0.7average 14.3
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 29.6
- Linke -0.4average 4.4
- FDP -0.3average 5.3
- AfD +0.1average 20.9
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- AfD154
- SPD110
- Grüne110
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.