Infratest dimap poll of 2 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Oct 2023 to 1 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,314
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD22.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Oct 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,314 people were surveyed from 30 Oct 2023 to 1 Nov 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Oct 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has FDP 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.5average 5.5
- AfD +0.8average 21.2
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 29.3
- Linke +0.7average 4.3
- Grüne -0.2average 14.2
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
- Freie Wähler -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD159
- SPD116
- Grüne101
- Linke36
- CDU/CSU + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.