Infratest dimap poll of 13 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 11 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- AfD23.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler4.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Sep 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 10 to 11 Oct 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Sep 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.1 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.1average 17.1
- CDU/CSU +2.0average 27.0
- Grüne -1.7average 14.7
- AfD +1.6average 21.4
- FDP -1.3average 6.3
- Freie Wähler +1.3average 2.7
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- AfD171
- SPD111
- Grüne96
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.