Infratest dimap poll of 28 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 27 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,302
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- AfD22.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Sep 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,302 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Sep 2023, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.1average 17.1
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 27.0
- Freie Wähler +0.7average 2.3
- Linke -0.6average 4.6
- Grüne -0.5average 14.5
- AfD +0.4average 21.6
- FDP -0.4average 6.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD161
- SPD117
- Grüne103
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.